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Fiscal Synchronisation or Institutional Separation: An Examination of Tax-Spend Hypothesis in Nigeria

This paper investigates the position of Nigeria within the various fiscal hypotheses (tax-spend, spend-tax, fiscal synchronization and fiscal neutrality hypotheses) using Granger Causality and Block Exogeneity Wald Test within the framework of Vector Error Correction (VEC) Model. The study established one-directional causality that runs from revenue to expenditure (Tax-Spend Hypothesis). This suggests that current government effort at increasing tax revenue is a positive development to reduce or revert the economy from fiscal deficit path. By implication the ongoing government policy towards i…

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