International records / OpenAlex research
Unrestricted Vector Autoregressive Modelling of the Interaction among Oil Price, Exchange Rate and Inflation in Nigeria (1981–2017)
The interdependence among oil prices, exchange rates and inflation rates, and their response to shocks, was a cause of concern. Unrestricted Vector Autoregression (UVAR) was employed to analyse this interactions as well as to investigate the pattern of causality among the study variable. Annual data spanning from 1981 to 2017 was sourced from the Statistical Bulletin of the Central Bank of Nigeria. Pre-estimation analysis showed that all variables were integrated of order one 1(1), and there no cointegrating relationship. The inverse root of AR characteristic polynomial showed a stable VAR mod…
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