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Macroeconomic Shocks and Sectoral Spillover Effects in Nigeria’s Maritime Transport: A Vector Autoregressive Approach

This research explores the complex relationship between macroeconomic disruptions and maritime transport indicators in Nigeria using a Vector Autoregressive (VAR) approach. It primarily examines Real Gross Domestic Product (RGDP), Unemployment Rate (UR), Dry Bulk Transport (DBT), and Non-Oil Bulk Transport (NOT), utilising annual time-series information spanning from 1982 to 2023. Unit root tests indicate that all variables are integrated of order one (I (1). At the same time, Johansen cointegration results suggest no long-term equilibrium relationships among the variables, validating the use …

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