International records / OpenAlex research

From Demography to Development: Investigating the Manufacturing Pathway to Growth in Nigeria

Abstract Nigeria’s rapid population growth and persistent industrial underperformance have raised concerns about the country’s growth trajectory. Previous research often analyses these variables independently, thereby missing their potential synergy. This research explores whether population growth can spur economic growth when channeled through the manufacturing sector’s absorptive capacity. Using annual data between 1981 and 2024, the study utilizes the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach with an interaction term (Population Growth × Manufacturing Output) controlled by inflation, …