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Digital Revenue Governance and Subnational Fiscal Autonomy: A Mediated Principal–Agent Analysis of Federated Tax Digitisation

This study investigated the impact of Digital Revenue Governance on Subnational Fiscal Autonomy within a federated fiscal system and modelled the institutional mechanism through which this relationship operated. A quasi-experimental design was employed using state-level monthly panel data from Nigeria’s 2025 digital tax reforms. The analysis applied difference-in-differences, event-study, instrumental-variable, and sequential mediation techniques to establish causal and transmission effects. The findings indicated that Digital Revenue Governance did not exert a direct effect on fiscal autonomy…

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