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Broken Promises or Necessary Pain?An Empirically Grounded Analysis of Nigeria's Tinubu Administration Through the Lens of Social Contract Theory

Since President Bola Ahmed Tinubu assumed office in May 2023, Nigeria has been caught between two competing stories: an official narrative of bold economic reform and a lived reality of deepening poverty. This paper analyses the first three years of the Tinubu administration through social contract theory as its primary analytical lens. Drawing on the foundational works of Hobbes, Locke, and Rousseau, it asks a straightforward question: is the Nigerian government honouring its obligations to its citizens? To answer this, the paper combines qualitative analysis of the original source document w…

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