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Evaluating the Nigeria Industrial Revolution Plan: Measuring Manufacturing Sector Outcomes Against Policy Targets (2014–2025)

This study evaluates the effectiveness of the Nigeria Industrial Revolution Plan (NIRP) by assessing manufacturing sector outcomes against policy targets from 2014 to 2025. Using an ex post facto design and quantitative analysis of secondary time series data (2000–2025) from sources such as the Central Bank of Nigeria, National Bureau of Statistics, World Bank, and UNIDO, the research applied descriptive statistics, cointegration tests, regression models, ARIMA, and interrupted time series analysis. Findings reveal mixed outcomes.

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