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Effect of Selected Macroeconomic Variables on Manufacturing Sector Output in Nigeria

This study examines the effect of selected macroeconomic variables—exchange rate, interest rate, money supply, unemployment rate, and inflation rate—on the manufacturing sector output in Nigeria. The study employs an ex post facto research design and utilizes the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model for regression analysis to explore both short-run and long-run dynamics. The findings reveal that, in the long run, the exchange rate has a significant positive effect on manufacturing sector output in Nigeria, indicating that exchange rate stability fosters industrial growth. Conversely, in…

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    from https://iiardjournals.org/get/IJEFM/VOL. 10 NO. 2 2025/EFFECT OF SELECTED MACROECONMIC 78-98.pdf