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Examining Weak-Form Efficiency and the Dynamics of Stock Return Volatility in Nigeria

This study examined the weak-form efficiency and stock return volatility of the Nigerian Exchange Group (NGX) by analyzing daily closing prices of the All-Share Index (ASI) from May 18, 2017, to June 6th, 2024. Utilizing statistical tests such as Descriptive Statistics, Unit tests, Autocorrelation test, Pairwise Granger Causality test, Ordinary Least Square test, Normality/Random Walk test, Variance Ratio test and ARCH-GARCH models, the research assessed the predictability of stock returns. Results of the analysis revealed that Nigerian stock market did not follow the random walk theory (weak …

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    from https://iiardjournals.org/get/WJFIR/VOL. 9 NO. 6 2025/Examining Weak-Form Efficiency 85-119.pdf