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Modeling the Conditional Variance in the Returns on Nigeria Capital Market Variables Using Multivariate GARCH Models

This study investigates the dynamic volatility, conditional covariance, and spillover effects between key stock market indicators in Nigeria using advanced multivariate econometric techniques. Monthly data on the All-Share Index (ASI) and Market Capitalization (MC) spanning January 1996 to June 2024, comprising 1,799 observations, were obtained from the Central Bank of Nigeria and analyzed using Python-based econometric and machine learning frameworks. The return series were computed using logarithmic differencing and subjected to rigorous diagnostic procedures including descriptive statistics…

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    from https://iiardjournals.org/get/IJASMT/VOL. 12 NO. 8 2026/Modeling The Conditional Variance 49-60.pdf