Federal finance and statistics / Central Bank of Nigeria
Forecasting Nigerian Stock Market Returns using Artificial Neural Network Ensembles
This study constructs ANN based ensembles for modelling and forecasting the monthly Nigerian stock market return process, and comparing the forecast performance of the ensembles. The stock market returns were derived from the monthly stock mar ket All-Share-Indexes, from 1993 to 2023, consisting of 372 data points. Using R-square, RMSE, and TIC as goodness-of-fit measures, and FRMSE and FARV as forecast-error measures, results of the study showed that the ensemble methods gen erally provid | Keywords: ANN, ensemble, forecasting, stock market returns
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