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CIA Reading Room cia-rdp83b00140r000100050010-9: MEMO TO NIO/LA FROM CHAIRMAN NIC RE RADICAL DESTABILIZATION SUCCESSES

Approved For Release 2007/03/21 : CIA-RDP83BOO14OR000100050010-9 G~ 15 September 1981 NOTE FOR: NIO/LA FROM: Chairman, NIC Here are some comments on your note to the DCI on "radical destabilization successes:" 1. There is no doubt that some arguably preventable, political developments can inflict enormous costs on us. Your 1978 prediction of the consequences of the fall of the Shah is a case in point. 2. I agree that there are several contingencies that might occur in the near future which could have a similar effect. Those that should be of particular concern center on the Persian Gulf, which…