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CIA Reading Room cia-rdp88t00988r000100080012-1: THE INTERNATIONAL ARENA IN 1986

Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/07/08: CIA-RDP88T00988R000100080012-1 I -*,LW%L I STAT DDCI Attached please find another of STAT special forecasts, this a world vie 1986. Points he particularly stresses are: 1. Falling oil prices, especially, will lead to a more serious debt crisis than in 1982, and countries like Mexico and Nigeria will lead the way in expanding the Peruvian approach of unilaterally declaring limits on how much they will pay back each year. _ THE DIRECTOR OF CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE 21 Feb. 1986 National Intelligence Council E NOTE TO: DCI 2. Gorbachev will conduct the m…