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CIA Reading Room cia-rdp90b01390r000300350007-2: THE GLOBAL CONSEQUENCES OF CHINA'S TRADE EXPANSION: A LOOK AT THE FUTURE

Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2011/11/09: CIA-RDP90B01390R000300350007-2 Central Intelligence Agency Washington. D. C. 20505 DIRECTORATE OF INTELLIGENCE 30 October 1986 The Global Consequences of China's Trade Expansion: A Look at the Future Summary Under the economic reform measures now in place, we estimate that by the year 2000 China is likely to double its share of world exports to become a trading power equaling Canada or Italy. The most detrimental effects of China's outward looking trade strategy will be incurred by the less developed countries as China expa…