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130. Airgram From the Department of State to the Embassies in All OECD Capitals

, $5 oil will seem cheap). In any case the lead time in developing this synthetic oil would be very long. Producing capacity in Saudi Arabia is currently at a physical limit and there is almost no chance of Kuwait upping its output. Abu Dhabi, Iran, Nigeria and Venezuela all offer some shut-in capacities, and together could offset the 600,000 b/d loss of Iraqi crude, discreetly, so that no one will notice. But again, a loss of 4 million b/d could not be offset. 2. The Delegate from France ( Vaillaud ) expressed some surprise at the US statements, admonishing that France, in its continued depen…

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